Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeHe will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator 89.6%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
41
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 24, 02:42 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiRegole
If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.
- If there's not a generally accepted person but there is a generally accepted company this resolves to the CEO of that company.
- If there is neither a generally accepted person, nor a generally accepted company, these may resolve to prob according to the characteristics of the various candidates.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 75,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 61,5K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,1K €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- Manifold Markets quota He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator al 90% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- What will be true about the person who creates AGI? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.