Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
$1.6–3.2 trillion 76%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
51
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo11 dic 23, 19:17 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $2-3T)
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Volume totale
- 93,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 59,5K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 32,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)?
- Manifold Markets quota $1.6–3.2 trillion al 76% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)?
- What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).