Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Anthropic 19%In testa tra 26 esiti
Anthropic 19%Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto19 dic 22, 22:25 UTC1 gen 31, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
PolymarketWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketWhich AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
2022 would resolve as OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind
- Based on social media buzz, search trends, etc. — i.e. purely on buzz/prestige
- 50/30/20 resolution to the most impactful in public opinion during the year
