Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention 28.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ago 25, 13:55 UTC1 gen 40, 14:52 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves when the ICJ issues its final merits Judgment in Case 192, “Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
- Israel).” Source for resolution: the ICJ case page (Judgment document once posted). https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- Exactly one option resolves Yes, using this precedence:
- Genocide — If the Court finds Israel internationally responsible for committing genocide under Article II (by its organs/agents or conduct attributable to the state), this option resolves Yes; all others No. Resolution is based solely on the final Judgment’s dispositive paragraphs. https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- the named outcome — If the Court finds any breach other than Article III(c) (e.g., failure to prevent or punish genocide under Article I, complicity Art.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- Manifold Markets quota No genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention al 29% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria