Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOver 40 years 96.6%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto9 mar 24, 20:28 UTC1 gen 41, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Smoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?
Manifold MarketsHow will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial blood be considered safe and effective for patients in Japan by the end of 2026?
FutuurHow many patients will be treated under right-to-try in Montana within 2026?
FutuurEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Article on new Cystic Fibrosis medication.
- Will this or some other breakthrough improve life expectancy?
- This will resolve based on the period life expectancy.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the life expectancy for American Cystic Fibrosis Patients in 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota Over 40 years al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the life expectancy for American Cystic Fibrosis Patients in 2040??
- What will be the life expectancy for American Cystic Fibrosis Patients in 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2041.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the life expectancy for American Cystic Fibrosis Patients in 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Article on new Cystic Fibrosis medication.