Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMultiple shooters (actually fired weapons, not just involved) 62%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ago 26, 17:51 UTC14 set 26, 17:41 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Virginia State vs. South Carolina State
PolymarketWill University of California, Berkeley rank first for public universities in 2027?
ForecastExWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
ForecastExWill Stanford University rank first overall in 2027?
ForecastExWill "Surprising facts about the slave trade" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Manifold MarketsRegole
On Aug 15, a shooting occurred at Virginia State University, an historically Black university located near Richmond.
- See, e.g.: * Multiple people injured in shooting at Virginia State University * https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0l5583903yo
- This market is for specific propositions about this event.
- I've seeded it with common props for these markets, but please do add your own clear props; I'll do my best to judge them, although for added propositions I may ask the author's opinion.
- In some cases I will ask an AI agent to review multiple news sources for consensus.
- Market close in one month, but individual answers will close early if there is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 498,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Virginia State University shooting facts?
- Manifold Markets quota Multiple shooters (actually fired weapons, not just involved) al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Virginia State University shooting facts?
- Virginia State University shooting facts dovrebbe risolversi il 14 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Virginia State University shooting facts?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: On Aug 15, a shooting occurred at Virginia State University, an historically Black university located near Richmond.