Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 81%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 26, 07:37 UTC4 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 4 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026