Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
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Previsione della comunità attuale≥$1T 100%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 28 giorni fa
Obsoleto22 apr 26, 3:491 lug 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
≥$1T100%
≥$1.25T100%
≥$1.5T97.6%
≥$1.75T94%
≥$2T72.8%
≥$2.25T81.1%
≥$2.5T42.3%
≥$3T1%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· ≥$1T
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto72% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 100% | — | 12,3K € | 0 € | 27 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 28 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
0.7 ptsChiusi
+3.5pt100%
+65.3pt100%
+3.7pt100%
+12 altri esiti
19 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale2,7 Mln €
Volume 24h12,3K €
POLYMARKETRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Mercati Correlati
SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2027
114,1 €≥$2T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
87,8 €Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization": 78.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSOpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
38 €≥$0.6T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
11,4K €December 31,: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
6,2K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
5,4K €Before Oct 1, 2026: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraphRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).