Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028
GeopoliticaOne-Off8a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 94.4%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto5 nov 22, 15:19 UTC1 gen 35, 07:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves YES if, in my best judgement, all the things in the headline description happen, and NO otherwise.
- Inspired by a market of @IsaacKing
- https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/republicans-win-democratically-and#mG9EnDICpMM9FJaYfHYV ;
- the only difference is that this market resolves based on my judgement, not @L's.
- In resolving this question I will take words to mean precisely what they say.
- (If you want a sense of what I think words mean, I'm happy to answer questions in the comments.)
