Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJ.D. Vance 43.4%-0.7ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 11:08 UTC31 lug 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 44%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 40%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee
