GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
J.D. Vance 38.5%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
243,5 €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
19 feb 26, 21:3710 nov 28, 0:00
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
J.D. Vance39%
Confronta le piattaforme· J.D. Vance
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto83% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 39% | 0pt | 200,2K € | 32,6 Mln € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Polymarket88% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 43% | +4pt | 151,1K € | 48,6 Mln € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
| GeminiQuesta pagina | Media | 39% | 0pt | 243,5 € | 0 € | 21 minuti fa | |
 Myriad85% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 35% | -4pt | 0 € | 0 € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless94% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 43% | +4pt | 0 € | 0 € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Smarkets64% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 40% | +1pt | 0 € | 0 € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 42% | +3pt | — | — | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 41% | +2pt | — | — | 1 ora fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets88% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 41% | +2pt | — | — | 3 giorni fa | Apri → |
 PredictIt82% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 39% | 0pt | — | — | 1 minuto fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
50%
48%
43%
+4 altri esiti
22 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale13,4K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
49%
+0.1pt43%
27%
+125 altri esiti
74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale599,3 Mln €
Volume 24h151,1K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
+0.2pt41.4%
-0.5pt25.2%
+0.2pt23.5%
+3 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità19 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2a
41.4%
+0.1pt24.6%
15%
+35 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità804 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Myriad
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
1.9 pts73a
+0.0pt35.2%
-0.1pt19.6%
+0.0pt8.5%
+29 altri esiti
30 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADDisponibile anche su Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
2a
-1.0pt39.8%
-1.0pt30.6%
-0.2pt5.1%
+35 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale47,8 Mln €
Volume 24h200,2K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2a
39%
28%
5%
+11 altri esiti
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2a
+1.2pt42.4%
-1.1pt24.5%
6.2%
+22 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità66 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
40%
25.6%
5.3%
+23 altri esiti
22 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale4,5K €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSRegole
2028 Republican Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D.
- Vance wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- Vance wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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KALSHIThomas Massie — No18 h fa$1.8k97.1%POLYMARKETWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — No0x3c63…3e40ieri
POLYMARKETWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — No0x3c63…3e40ieriTrend del volume
$27727 lug2g di dati28 lug
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2028 Republican Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D.
- Vance wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- Vance wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.