GeminiDati verificati limitatiProbabilità implicita attuale
Gavin Newsom 17.5%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
313,1 €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
19 feb 26, 22:0210 nov 28, 0:00
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Gavin Newsom18%
Confronta le piattaforme· Gavin Newsom
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto83% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 18% | 0pt | 1 Mln € | 96,5 Mln € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Polymarket88% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 20% | +2pt | 322,9K € | 64,6 Mln € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
| GeminiQuesta pagina | Media | 18% | 0pt | 313,1 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | |
 Myriad78% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 40% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Smarkets64% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 18% | 0pt | 7,9 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless94% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 20% | +2pt | 0 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets88% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 20% | +2pt | — | — | 46 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets80% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 22% | +4pt | — | — | 18 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
19.7%
14.5%
9.3%
+3 altri esiti
22 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale10,7K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
20.8%
-0.2pt16.7%
+0.7pt14.6%
+125 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale1,1 Mld €
Volume 24h322,9K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1a
20%
10%
8%
+14 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità21 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.7 pts2a
17.5%
-1.0pt14.6%
-2.0pt12.6%
+43 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale142,6 Mln €
Volume 24h1 Mln €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.2pt34.3%
-0.1pt21.7%
-0.1pt11.8%
+5 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità13 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
24.1 pts73a
+0.2pt39.6%
-0.2pt10.1%
-0.1pt8.4%
+29 altri esiti
30 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADDisponibile anche su Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
20%
17.9%
16.7%
+19 altri esiti
22 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale9,2K €
Volume 24h7,9 €
SMARKETSRegole
2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()