Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 11 lug 2026, 12:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeJ. D. Vance 83.5%In testa tra 21 esiti
Previsori
59
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 giorni fa
Obsoleto10 ott 23, 15:0517 giu 28, 6:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Ron Desantis52%
Confronta le piattaforme· J. D. Vance
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto88% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 78% | — | 1,5K € | 143,6K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 84% | — | — | — | 16 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 pts1a
78%
-3.0pt70%
+2.0pt62%
+31 altri esiti
67 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquidità
Volume totale344,8K €
Volume 24h1,5K €
KALSHIRegole
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$269 lug3g di dati11 lug
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KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.