Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
10 set 26, 11:17 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031
Manifold MarketsAnthropic flips Apple before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030
- If OpenAI is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- Inspired by @/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030 credit @Bayesian
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,4K €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 20,9K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per OpenAI flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 61% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve OpenAI flips Apple before 2030??
- OpenAI flips Apple before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato OpenAI flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if OpenAI is worth more than Apple in market capitalization before 2030