Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53.3%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto19 lug 26, 08:32 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030
- [tweet]If Anthropic is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).
- The market resolves based on events occurring before the start of 2030 (i.e., before January 1, 2030), not before the end of 2030.
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,4K €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 20,9K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Anthropic flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 53% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Anthropic flips Apple before 2030??
- Anthropic flips Apple before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Anthropic flips Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030