Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffIATecnologiaCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.7%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto27 mar 26, 15:48 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketSpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI files for bankruptcy or enters formal insolvency proceedings before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official court filings, SEC documents, or verified announcements from OpenAI's leadership.
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI remains solvent and operational through year-end 2026.
- OpenAI is projected to make a $14 billion loss in 2026, primarily driven by infrastructure expansion, model training, research hiring, and compute costs.
- While OpenAI reportedly generates up to $13 billion in revenue annually from ChatGPT and LLM access fees, the firm spends up to $1.4 billion on computing.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 altri esiti
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ??
- Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria