Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAccident 81.6%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto7 lug 26, 05:15 UTC1 gen 27, 06:13 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Oliver Tree is still alive
Manifold MarketsWhen will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause?
Manifold MarketsWill the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Resolves according to the outcome of the investigation by Brazilian authorities.
- My son told me to make this market, and also to include this sentence.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 498,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Oliver Tree cause of death?
- Manifold Markets quota Accident al 82% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Oliver Tree cause of death?
- Oliver Tree cause of death dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Oliver Tree cause of death?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves according to the outcome of the investigation by Brazilian authorities.