NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031?

Manifold Markets quota No al 94.9% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031?

NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.

Come viene liquidato NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031?

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: From https://metaculus.com/questions/17272/second-us-civil-war-before-2031/

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 29100%
• October 30+0.1pt100%
• November 1+2.9pt99%

+39 altri esiti

Volume totale

37,5 Mln €

Volume 24h

448,5K €

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 31+2.4pt99%
• November 2+2.1pt94%
• November 4-1.0pt85%

+19 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31-1.5pt63%
• December 31+0.5pt43%
• November 30-1.0pt31%

+22 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

• No-1.0pt88.1%
• Yes+1.0pt11.9%

Volume totale

14,4 Mln €

Volume 24h

135,5K €

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

• No94.1%
• Yes5.9%

Volume totale

25,8 Mln €

Volume 24h

115,6K €

POLYMARKET

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?

• October 31+9.5pt99%
• October 847%
• October 1228%

+28 altri esiti

Volume totale

• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
• Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
• U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?