Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 91%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto3 set 26, 01:18 UTC31 dic 26, 02:14 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Bond girl?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the next Bond film make at the box office?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegole
1 Callum Turner
- 2 Jack Lowden
- 3 Jack Barton
- 4 Someone Else
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios, Eon Productions, or a major reputable Hollywood trade publication (such as Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, or Deadline) confirming the actor cast to play the next James Bond (007) in the official film franchise (often referred to as "Bond 26").
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.3pt100%
- $25M+0.2pt100%
- $50M+1.2pt100%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volume totale
- 25,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 418K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+16.0pt82%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+7.0pt75%
+36 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.6pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt14%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+6.0pt59.2%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt40.8%
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 217,4K €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Bond?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 91% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Bond?
- Next Bond dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Bond?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: 1 Callum Turner