Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore Mar 2027 41.9%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-10.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto27 lug 26, 15:05 UTC28 feb 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
New wave of mobilisation of personnel as rumoured by some telegram channels.
- Must be called "mobilisation" by the Russian government (possibly with extra adjectives") OR use the same legal structure a general mobilization would use as it's main legal background.
- This market resolves purely based on announcements/admissions by the Russian government.
- Elections are scheduled in Russia for September 20th and the rumour us mobilization will be announced after.
- Shorter time horizon (i.e. mobilization shortly after elections):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AIBear/russia-announces-mobilization-befor)Update 2026-04-07: the previous update was wrong.