[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
One-OffIATecnologiaChina3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 95.8%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto9 apr 24, 02:49 UTC2 gen 27, 12:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/20460/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if a Chinese-headquartered firm orders >20,000 domestically designed and fabricated AI chips before January 1, 2027, based on a credible report.
- It resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027??
- [Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato [Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?