Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 90.9%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto26 giu 25, 06:15 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030
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Manifold MarketsLake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
KalshiLowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
- As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.