Previsione della comunità attuale
No 90.9%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto26 giu 25, 06:15 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
KalshiWill Yellowstone erupt before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Yellowstone Supervolcano erupt next?
Manifold MarketsMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
PolymarketHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketRegole
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
- As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.
Mercati aperti
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 141,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 72,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 71,6K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Lake Kivu erupt before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Lake Kivu erupt before 2030??
- Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Lake Kivu erupt before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Following the latest RealLifeLore video: