KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 78%
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,9 €
Liquidità
9,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
22.5% / 24.7%
Spread
2.2 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
18 lug 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 50, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the Yellowstone Supervolcano erupt next?
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KalshiMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
PolymarketHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
PolymarketRegole
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 141,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 72,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 71,6K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050??
- Kalshi quota No al 78% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050??
- Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.