Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
WeatherOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 62%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mar 23, 01:06 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market is intended to predict whether or not the drying of the Great Salt Lake will both continue to occur and have significant negative effects to human health in the surroundings region (on a medium term timescale).
- It is very likely the dust storm would need to meet the following requirements for me to resolve this as Yes:
- Contains a large amount of (presumably poisonous, likely arsenic laden) material from the Great Salt Lake lake bed
- Is expected to cause specifically attributable negative health affects (over the victims lifetime) to greater than 500 people and/or required more than $10,000,000 to mitigate the negative effects of (possibly through economic losses of Shelter In Place or Evacuation orders)
- Recieved reporting by a major news outlet (respected news outlets in the SLC region count).
- Please feel free to ask questions about how I would resolve this in various cases in the comments.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 62% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030??
- Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market is intended to predict whether or not the drying of the Great Salt Lake will both continue to occur and have significant negative effects to human health in the surroundings region (on a medium term timescale).