Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.5%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto19 dic 25, 23:57 UTC1 gen 30, 23:47 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
KalshiWill any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.
- Resolves NO if the ballroom is finished and certainly contains no underground data center.
- The underground portion of construction has to be on white house ground near or directly under the above ground portion of new construction replacing the demolished east wing.
- It must include a data center to resolve yes but also can include other elements.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/VbJ4ilDvGyc?si=4devuDvE-Z_aaxsS)Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will determine resolution based on how the underground/protected portion is presented or announced in credible details.
- If the language used is mainly "data center" or "data storage/processing facility", the market can resolve YES.
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 altri esiti
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 83% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center??
- Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Is Trump's ballroom project an underground data center??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES with large-scale credible evidence or Trump/white house staff themselves reveals that the ballroom project is also an underground data center.