Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 73.9%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto13 apr 26, 14:32 UTC20 gen 29, 15:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the results of a poll conducted on this platform.
- The market will close on Janurary 20th, and the final percentage of "Yes" votes vs. "No" votes will determine the outcome.
- If the percentage of "Yes" votes is greater than 50%, the market will resolve to "Yes." If the percentage of "No" votes is greater than or equal to 50%, the market will resolve to "No."
- The question of whether a contemporary political figure, such as Donald Trump, fits the biblical description of the "antichrist" is a subject of speculation among some religious groups and commentators.
- Historically, the term has been applied to various leaders throughout time.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 592,5K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 602,9 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 220,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 214,6K €
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- IA-01 House winner?
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- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is Donald Trump the Antichrist??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Is Donald Trump the Antichrist??
- Is Donald Trump the Antichrist? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Is Donald Trump the Antichrist??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria