In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
IntrattenimentoIAOne-Off6a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 78.1%
Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto23 set 23, 07:41 UTC31 dic 32, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsBy what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt?
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KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRegole
A replica of scott's market.
- Closes and resolves at the end of 2032.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)