In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.5%
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Obsoleto16 set 22, 20:37 UTC1 gen 30, 08:00 UTC
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The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things
- The full text is: "In 2029, AI will not be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen (extending Steve Wozniak’s cup of coffee benchmark)."
- Judgment will be by me, not Gary Marcus.
- Ambiguous whether this means start or end of 2029, so I have set it for the end.
- Update 2025-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The AI can perform about as well as a good human cook in most kitchens
- It does not require the kitchen to be reorganized for its use
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 57% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)?
- In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things