In 2025, California’s GDP was $4.3 trillion (PPIC.org). Will 2026 GDP be at least 4.4 trillion?
InflazioneOne-OffEconomia8m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 69.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto1 lug 26, 08:21 UTC1 lug 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if California's annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in current dollars (nominal GDP) for the year 2026 is at least $4.400 trillion ($4,400,000,000,000), according to the official preliminary annual data released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The market will resolve to NO if the official annual figure is less than $4.400 trillion.
- Source of Truth: The initial release of the BEA’s news release for "Gross Domestic Product by State and Personal Income by State, 4th Quarter and Year 2026" (typically published in March or April 2027).
- The data can be verified directly on the BEA GDP by State page.
- Revisions: Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for the full-year 2026 nominal GDP.
