Will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress before the midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione
Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 3 nov 2026, 20:56
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1%
No99%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Does hidden interpolation explain >25% of AI progress?
Manifold MarketsWill "A Bear Case: My Predictions Regarding AI Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill a therapy that significantly slows or reversed the aging process in domestic animals be developed before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPossible outcomes of the bet on AI progress between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage
Manifold MarketsAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows US AI progress before the 2026 midterms?
- This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election.
- Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-the-us-governmen
