If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
One-OffUS PoliticsHealth & MedicinePolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 90%
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37
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binary
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto4 lug 24, 11:15 UTC7 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Conditional on Trump getting reelected in 2024, will he show signs of age-related mental decline at any time before Jan 6 2029.
- I will try to use external sources.
- For example, if there is widespread media discussion about his age.
- Clarifications:
- 1) If Trump is not reelected in 2024, this resolves N/A
- 2) If Trump is re-elected but does not end his second term (e.g. because he is impeached and removed from office), this resolves to whether there is significant discussion of age-related decline by when his term would have ended (Jan 6th 2029).
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term??
- If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term? dovrebbe risolversi il 7 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Conditional on Trump getting reelected in 2024, will he show signs of age-related mental decline at any time before Jan 6 2029.