How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

One-OffHealth & Medicine Regolamentazione11m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Above 5% 95%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

170,3 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

93.0% / 98.0%

Spread

5.4%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 19 minuti fa

14 lug 26, 0:001 lug 27, 13:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Above 5%95%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data.
Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 15% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 20% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trend del volume

14 lug7g di dati20 lug

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Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

33,8K €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 4%

Anthropic IPO by __?

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,515.35+0.70%

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SolanaSOL$75.10+1.49%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.93%

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Regole

If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data.
Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 15% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 20% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

One-OffHealth & Medicine Regolamentazione11m

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

Above 5% 95%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

170,3 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

93.0% / 98.0%

Spread

5.4%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 19 minuti fa

14 lug 26, 0:001 lug 27, 13:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Above 5%95%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data.
Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 15% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 20% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trend del volume

14 lug7g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

Preimplantation genetic diagnosis liberalised in Germany before 2027?

61,5 €

Sì: 13.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

35,6 €

Commercial fusion power: 39.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Testosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?

511,3 €

Sì: 17.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

72,1K €

Sì: 38%

POLYMARKET

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

33,8K €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 4%

Anthropic IPO by __?

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,515.35+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,887.40+1.53%

SolanaSOL$75.10+1.49%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.93%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.42%

BNBBNB$570.92+0.92%

Notizie Correlate

HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Regole

If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 5% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The percent decline equals 100 × (February 2026 enrollment − February 2027 enrollment) ÷ February 2026 enrollment, based on the exact figures reported under CMS’s nationwide “All” Marketplace category, or its equivalent aggregate combining HealthCare.gov and state-based Marketplaces, in CMS’s first official or non-preliminary release containing February 2027 data.
Nationwide includes the 50 states and Washington, D.C.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 10% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 15% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 20% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.