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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
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KalshiRegole
Artificial superintelligence (ASI) here means any artificial intelligence able to carry out any cognitive task better than 100% of the unenhanced biological human population.
- Safe-ish ASI here means ASI that does not wipe out humanity.
- Able here could mean actual agentic use, just a test demonstration, or just scientific theoretical proof of having that capability that is accepted as fact by the majority of the human scientific community.
- Hacking a mind here means sensory inputs that through mere exposure would involuntarily (regardless of previous desires/beliefs/precommitments) enable total predictable control of the mind (arbitrarily large changes of judgment/personality, lethal effects such as seizures etc).
- Examples in fiction include David Langford's BLITs/basilisks and SCP's memetic kill agents.
- It does not include persuasion with high-quality logical arguments, ordinary voluntary hypnosis with substantial cooperation and effort from the subject, generated fake content / illusions acting as false evidence for something, direct physical alteration of the mind itself, or coersion via threats / torture.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If safe-ish ASI is created, will it be able to hack human minds within a year??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If safe-ish ASI is created, will it be able to hack human minds within a year??
- If safe-ish ASI is created, will it be able to hack human minds within a year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato If safe-ish ASI is created, will it be able to hack human minds within a year??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Artificial superintelligence (ASI) here means any artificial intelligence able to carry out any cognitive task better than 100% of the unenhanced biological human population.