If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneGeopolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54.6%
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto31 dic 24, 13:07 UTC21 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will elements of the Trump administration attempt a coup by the end of January 2029?
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PolymarketWill Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PolymarketRegole
High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate
- Militias like the Proud Boys count
- MAGA-aligned independent would count
- Needs to have had a significant (>=10%) chance of success, according to traders' opinions
- Aborted plan or random document doesn't count
- Plan needs to be executed, or disrupted by law enforcement