PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 72%
No 72%Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
23,5 €
Liquidità
15,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
28.0% / 29.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
25 set 26, 22:33 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketIf Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, the Republican party nominee fails to win one or more of the Senate races listed below.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The relevant races are the currently-scheduled United States Senate races in: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida (Special), Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected.
- Candidates who run as independents or third-party candidates will not be considered to be Republicans regardless of affiliation or caucus decisions.