KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 5 ott 2026, 16:13 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
16 or more 90%In testa tra 9 esiti
16 or more 90%Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
—
Open interest sconosciutoSpread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 18:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Regole
If at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Associated PressNew York TimesBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesthe Clerk of the House of Representatives
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election. Losses in 2026 House primaries and runoffs held before this market opened count, including for members who later leave office. Members who ran for a different office, such as the Senate, are not counted. Party is as listed by the Clerk of the House when this market opened. Non-voting delegates and the Resident Commissioner are not counted.
Regole per ogni esito
- 16 or more
- If at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20 or more
- If at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 24 or more
- If at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 28 or more
- If at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 32 or more
- If at least 32 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 36 or more
- If at least 36 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 40 or more
- If at least 40 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 44 or more
- If at least 44 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 48 or more
- If at least 48 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
