Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
0.1 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 98%-0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
16,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
97.5% / 98.3%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
2
Variazione 7g
+7.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
15 nov 25, 00:18 UTC3 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
The 2026 midterm elections for the US House of Representatives is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the House of Representatives for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US House of Representatives as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election.
- The loss of particular district seats will not count towards a resolution for this market; only the total number of seats held by the Republican Party in a given state will be considered.