KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 10 91%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
175,5 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 14:00 UTC15 dic 26, 14:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections.
- That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts.
- A district counts only if the candidate elected there is the nominee of the Democratic Party.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs.
- A candidate elected as an independent or without a party nomination does NOT count, whether or not they caucus with the Democrats.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026??
- Kalshi quota At least 10 al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026??
- How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.