KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
At least 10 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
At least 10 98.5%In testa tra 13 esiti
At least 10 98.5%Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
11,9 €
Open interest
4,2K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
At least 10Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 14:00 UTC15 dic 26, 14:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · At least 10
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Washington State Congressional districts will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich New York House Districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich Iowa congressional districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich Texas House Districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRegole
If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the November 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning January 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
Regole per ogni esito
- At least 10
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 19
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 22
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 13
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 25
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 28
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 28 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 31
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 31 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 35
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 52 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.