If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 96.4%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 24, 05:59 UTC31 dic 26, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?
- This market will resolve YES if the 2025 democracy index for the United States released by the EIU is higher than 7.85, NO if it's less than or equal to 7.85
- Resolves NA if Trump didnt win the 2024 presidential election
- Economic Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index
- Compare the price against this market to estimate if Trump will worsen Democracy in the US
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/if-biden-won-the-election-will-the)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?