Previsione della comunità attuale
Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 feb 26, 19:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Mercati aperti
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes91.6%
- No8.4%
- Volume totale
- 244,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 243,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.6pt98%
- Google-0.9pt1%
- OpenAI-0.8pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 57,2K €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+8.0pt92%
- Above 8-6.0pt34%
- Above 9+2.0pt10%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Raye+55.0pt99%
- Any member of GENER8ION+73.0pt99%
- Madonna+11.0pt99%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.4pt54.4%
- SpaceX44.7%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHISpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Before Oct 16, 202698%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-4.0pt88%
- Before Sep 29, 202687%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186K €
- Volume 24h
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Manifold Markets quota Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) al 43% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.