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Will the largest machine learning training run (in FLOP) as of the end of 2030 be in the United States?
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2027?
Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026
Will AI outperform the best human expert on machine learning R&D?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
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Background on me: I rate myself at somewhere between 75th and 95th percentile skill in machine learning engineering [amongst employed professionals of that job title].
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