Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto15 mar 26, 02:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
Manifold MarketsA humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
Manifold MarketsAlien creature kills human anytime through 2038
Manifold MarketsSpaceX kills a human in a rocket by 2035
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- As of 2026, no fully humanoid robot has been deployed in direct combat operations.
- This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot (defined as a bipedal, human-shaped autonomous or semi-autonomous machine) directly kills a human combatant or civilian in Ukraine during 2026.
- Resolution requires credible documentation from established news sources confirming the death was caused by a humanoid robot's actions.
- The robot must be deployed in Ukraine and actively engaged in combat or combat-adjacent operations.
- Accidental deaths caused by mechanical failure or mishandling do not count.
