Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 53.6%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto5 ott 25, 18:48 UTC11 gen 70, 18:36 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?
Manifold MarketsHow long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketWill Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have a child together confirmed publicly before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsPro Football: Travis Kelce 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
PolymarketRegole
Resolves "the named outcome" if, while still married, it appears that Taylor & Travis will be immortal (e.g. life expectancy increasing at a rate of more than one year per year, sustained for an extended period of time) and they credibly commit to never breaking up (e.g. by self-modification).
- Resolves "the named outcome" if the marriage breaks up and there is any hint of acrimony.
- (I will be fairly generous in what qualifies for this, since the public view will be heavily filtered.
- If there aren't public indications that they're still friendly, it's probably gone down in flames.
- As a point of reference, the Joe Alwyn breakup would qualify as going down in flames.)
- Resolves "the named outcome" upon credible reporting that they have split before getting married (regardless of whether they later get back together).
