Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale6-10 years 20.6%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ago 25, 17:57 UTC26 ago 45, 17:49 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?
Manifold MarketsHow will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate)
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Travis Kelce announce his retirement before next season?
KalshiWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?
PolymarketRegole
Time will start from the day of the wedding (if no reception, then day of court house marriage license) until date of official public announcement or official reporting of a divorce.
- Rumors and "separations" don't count, needs to be actual divorce filing.
- A full year needs to occur to make it into next category (e.g. 5 years and 10 months would be "the named outcome")
- Update 2025-10-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If either or both spouses die while still married (before any divorce filing), the market will resolve to N/A (void).
Mercati aperti
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+3 altri esiti
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last??
- Manifold Markets quota 6-10 years al 21% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last??
- How long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last? dovrebbe risolversi il 26 agosto 2045.
- Come viene liquidato How long will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage last??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Time will start from the day of the wedding (if no reception, then day of court house marriage license) until date of official public announcement or official reporting of a divorce.