Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 90.8%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ott 25, 19:30 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate)
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketHow will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?
Manifold MarketsWill Travis Kelce announce his retirement before next season?
KalshiWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are still in a romantic relationship (married and not separated, engaged, or dating) as of December 31, 2028.
- The market resolves to NO if they have publicly announced a breakup or divorce by this date, OR if there is credible reporting that they are separated (including if they are in the process of divorce, even if not finalized).
- Resolution criteria: The market will be resolved based on credible news sources reporting on their relationship status.
- If there is no clear public information about a breakup or separation by the resolution date, and they were last known to be together, the market resolves to YES.
- Sources for resolution: Major news outlets such as People Magazine, E! News, or official statements from either Swift or Kelce or their representatives.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028??
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are still in a romantic relationship (married and not separated, engaged, or dating) as of December 31, 2028.