How big will the "Dunesday" box office weekend be? (Dec 18–20, 2026)
1.9 pt (24h)InflazioneOne-OffIntrattenimento1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMore than $350M 95.5%+1.9ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+45.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto30 ott 26, 22:43 UTC21 dic 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
"Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office
Polymarket"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office
PolymarketWill The Cat in the Hat beat Godzilla Minus Zero at the domestic box office on opening weekend (Nov 6–8, 2026)?
Manifold Markets"Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office
PolymarketHunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping — domestic opening weekend (Box Office Mojo)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
"Dunesday" weekend: Dec 18–20, 2026 — Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Part Three both open Friday, Dec 18.
- Each option resolves YES if the combined domestic (US/Canada) box office for all films over the 3-day weekend of Friday Dec 18 – Sunday Dec 20, 2026 exceeds that amount, per Box Office Mojo's weekend chart (final actuals, not Sunday estimates, unadjusted for inflation).
- Otherwise NO.
- For reference, the current all-time record weekend is $434M (Jul 31 – Aug 2, 2026, led by Spider-Man: Brand New Day).
- The previous record was Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend at ~$402M.
- Options are independent; more than one can resolve YES.