Greatest AI Researcher of All Time
IA
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 23.7%In testa tra 31 esiti
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 lug 25, 05:37 UTC1 gen 00, 06:37 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Largest reported pay-package offered to an AI researcher before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any prominent AI researcher be assassinated before EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Lucas Beyer (AI Researcher) work at either Anthropic or xAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
inspired by the great
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/sixtynine/greatest-mathematician-of-all-time)Resolves on the date after the first ASI is presented and accepted.
- Until then, a healthy discussion is appreciated.
- Update 2025-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their personal distinction between AI research and computer science, indicating that work considered primarily computer science may be viewed as 'distant from AI research' for the purposes of this market's resolution.