GOP wins in how many of the six "Rabois" Senate races?
30.7 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione16h
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAt least one 80.7%+30.7ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+30.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto2 nov 26, 14:47 UTC4 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Keith Rabois offers to bet Nate Silver that the GOP wins the named outcome of six Senate races: Texas, Alaska, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio (special), Michigan.
- This market counts how many of those six the Republican candidate actually wins.
- [tweet]Each answer resolves independently: "At least N" resolves YES if the GOP wins N or more of the six, NO otherwise.
- Winners per the AP call / certified result.
- A race that goes to a runoff or recount resolves on its final outcome; the market stays open to resolution until all six are decided.
- Pic for posterity:
