Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.9%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto18 gen 26, 00:26 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
PolymarketUS trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiWill the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
KalshiWill China impose new trade restrictions on Taiwan before October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.
- Preliminary Commission examination or political threats to use the ACI do not count; only a formal Council determination triggers resolution.
Mercati aperti
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,4K €
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 13,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7K €
KALSHIWhat will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- Fold / Folding / Foldable+10.0pt88%
- Ultra+5.0pt87%
- Apple Intelligence83%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,3K €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Volume totale
- 1,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 683,1 €
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.