Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 73%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto12 dic 25, 18:34 UTC31 dic 26, 18:34 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
I would resolve the market to "Yes" if GPT-5.2 used a different pretrain than GPT-5.1.
- This market may be resolved using insider knowledge that I hear from friends that work at OpenAI.
- In this case, there will be no public citations for my resolution.
- Trade at your own risk.